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Category: inflation

No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

June 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While Fed Chairman Jerome Powell adhered to the Fed’s stated policy of “slower economic growth with expected higher inflation” yesterday…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Federal Reserve, inflation, inflation expectations, interest rates

SP 500 Earnings: Are the Tariffs Fully Discounted and May ’25 Core CPI This Coming Week

June 7, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

The SP 500 closed at 6,000.36 on Friday, June 6th, 2025. It’s low on April 7th, 2025 was 4,835.04. Despite…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CPI / PPI, inflation, inflation expectations, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: CPI Print Wednesday, Walmart Earnings Thursday, and Don’t Forget Inflation Expectations

August 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big economic print this week will be Wednesday’s July CPI and Core CPI, which along with Thursday’s July Retail…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, inflation, inflation expectations, Weekly Earnings Update

Are Longer-Maturity Treasuries (TLT) Bottoming and the US Could Probably Use a Mild Recession

October 15, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions is a favorite technician, and his work is read regularly for good reason. The…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, inflation, inflation expectations, TLT, Treasuries

Will the US Treasury Market Have a Decade Like Stocks Did from 2000 to 2009 ? (Inflation data this week)

August 6, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 fell roughly 2.25% last week – it’s first weekly decline since mid-May ’23 – per the technical…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, CPI / PPI, inflation, TLT

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Some Improvement is Expected; The 7% Free-Cash-Flow Yield Helps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Q2 ’25 Earnings Should be Ok; The Attention Turns to Q3 ’25 Guidance

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