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Category: Federal Reserve

Fed Rate Hike Coming This Week, Deteriorating Market Breadth, and more on International

September 12, 2026 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This is the CME’s fed funds futures probability bar chart for this coming FOMC announcement on Wednesday, September 16th, 2026,…

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Posted in: Emerging Markets, Federal Reserve, FOMC meeting, International (Non-US)

Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

December 8, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

(H/t Mike Zaccardi) Table from Bank of America showing the change in 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields dating back to…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Ben Bernanke, Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, Federal Reserve, FOMC meeting

No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

June 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While Fed Chairman Jerome Powell adhered to the Fed’s stated policy of “slower economic growth with expected higher inflation” yesterday…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Federal Reserve, inflation, inflation expectations, interest rates

The Coming Week: FOMC Statement, Lots of Labor Market Data, and More SP 500 Earnings Data

July 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It’s a busy week for economic data, both monthly and quarterly, as well as the all-important FOMC statement on monetary…

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Posted in: CME fed funds futures, Federal Reserve, Monthly payroll report

It’s Still All About Interest Rates and the US Economic Data

October 1, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Anytime during the trading day the last few weeks, when the 10-year Treasury yield moved to multi-year highs, the dollar…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CME fed funds futures, Federal Reserve, Municipal Bond market

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Fundamentalis

  • JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America Earnings Previews: Eventually a Return to More Normal Growth
  • Market Breadth Perspective and Avoid Nike After the Guidedown
  • 10-year Treasury Note Greatly Oversold on Eve of September Nonfarm Payroll Report
  • Key Economic Data This Week and the Treasury 10-Year Yield Bias Still Higher
  • Nike Earnings Preview: The Only Bullish Aspect to Nike’s Stock is the Extreme Bearishness

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