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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought

September 13, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While Treasury yields have rallied sharply over the last three weeks (since the end of August) it looks like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, FOMC meeting, stock market sentiment

No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

June 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While Fed Chairman Jerome Powell adhered to the Fed’s stated policy of “slower economic growth with expected higher inflation” yesterday…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Federal Reserve, inflation, inflation expectations, interest rates

SP 500 Earnings: Are the Tariffs Fully Discounted and May ’25 Core CPI This Coming Week

June 7, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

The SP 500 closed at 6,000.36 on Friday, June 6th, 2025. It’s low on April 7th, 2025 was 4,835.04. Despite…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CPI / PPI, inflation, inflation expectations, Weekly Earnings Update

Bond Market Update and April PCE Data This Coming Week

May 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The table above is published by Briefing.com every weekend and provides good detail on the coming week’s economic data releases.…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, GDP, PCE / PCE Core

Bond Market Update: Moody’s Tells Investors: “It’s All About the Deficit”

May 18, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

The Moody’s downgrade – the last downgrade from the Aaa level – of U.S. Treasury debt that occurred on Friday,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), Treasuries

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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