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Category: TLT

2025: A Very Different Year: Duration Over Credit, Value Over Growth, Int’l Over US

March 2, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With 2 full months of the year completed, the SP 500 (SPY) is up +1.38% while the Barclay’s Aggregate is…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, High-Yield Credit, JMSIX (JPMorgan Income Fund), TLT

4 Reasons to Be Wary of Today’s Stock and Bond Market

November 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1.) Looking at the sector weights in SP 500 market cap terms as of Friday night, 11/1/24, technology is 32%…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, Credit spreads, Financial sector, Financials, High-Yield Credit, JNK, Market-Cap weights, Technology, TLT, TNX, Treasuries

2024 Forecast: Done a Little Differently

December 26, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Last year at this time, this blog thought that 2023 would be a better year, with a prediction of positive…

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Posted in: 2024 Stock and Bond Market Forecast, AGG, inflation expectations, International (Non-US), TLT

Are Longer-Maturity Treasuries (TLT) Bottoming and the US Could Probably Use a Mild Recession

October 15, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions is a favorite technician, and his work is read regularly for good reason. The…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, inflation, inflation expectations, TLT, Treasuries

Economic Growth is Good, Unless You Are a Bond Market

September 7, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

What spooked the Treasury market on Wednesday, September 6th, 2023, when the 10-year Treasury yield traded up to 4.30% once…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, annual return, GDP, TLT

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