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Category: Credit markets

Fixed-Income Annual Returns and Falling Crude Oil Prices

May 5, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Crude oil was down 4% Sunday night, as OPEC once again announced a production increase of 411,000 bpd (barrels per…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, Credit markets

4 Reasons to Be Wary of Today’s Stock and Bond Market

November 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1.) Looking at the sector weights in SP 500 market cap terms as of Friday night, 11/1/24, technology is 32%…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, Credit spreads, Financial sector, Financials, High-Yield Credit, JNK, Market-Cap weights, Technology, TLT, TNX, Treasuries

August CPI, High-Yield Credit, and Back to the Yen Carry Trade

September 8, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s the coming week’s detail on US economic releases, per Briefing.com calendar: The August CPI report is due Wednesday, September…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, Credit markets, Ed Yardeni, Yen

Jobless Claims and Credit Spreads – An Update

August 7, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While I thought last week’s jobless claims number of +255,000 was the highest print in the last year (and was…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Credit markets, jobless claims

SP 500 Earnings: Watch Credit Spreads to Gauge Recession Risk

August 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With large-cap or mega-cap technology earnings pretty much over with this week, (Nvidia reports late August ’24, and then Oracle…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit, HYG

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  • Inflation Expectations vs. 10-year Treasury Yield – the (2nd) Great Conundrum
  • Fixed-Income Annual Returns and Falling Crude Oil Prices

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