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Category: inflation expectations

Inflation Expectations vs. 10-year Treasury Yield – the (2nd) Great Conundrum

May 7, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

The first Great Conundrum was in the early 2000’s after the 2001 – 2002 50% bear market in the SP…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Great Rcecession (2008), inflation expectations

SP 500 Earnings: CPI Print Wednesday, Walmart Earnings Thursday, and Don’t Forget Inflation Expectations

August 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big economic print this week will be Wednesday’s July CPI and Core CPI, which along with Thursday’s July Retail…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, inflation, inflation expectations, Weekly Earnings Update

2024 Forecast: Done a Little Differently

December 26, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Last year at this time, this blog thought that 2023 would be a better year, with a prediction of positive…

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Posted in: 2024 Stock and Bond Market Forecast, AGG, inflation expectations, International (Non-US), TLT

Are Longer-Maturity Treasuries (TLT) Bottoming and the US Could Probably Use a Mild Recession

October 15, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions is a favorite technician, and his work is read regularly for good reason. The…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, inflation, inflation expectations, TLT, Treasuries

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