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Category: FOMC meeting

Fed Rate Hike Coming This Week, Deteriorating Market Breadth, and more on International

September 12, 2026 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This is the CME’s fed funds futures probability bar chart for this coming FOMC announcement on Wednesday, September 16th, 2026,…

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Posted in: Emerging Markets, Federal Reserve, FOMC meeting, International (Non-US)

Bond Markets Getting Oversold; Fed Funds Futures Indicate the FOMC Will Stand Pat on Wednesday, July 29th

July 26, 2026 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Rick Rieder, Blackrock’s major guru of everything fixed income – Blackrock’s Global Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income –…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, BlackRock, Blackrock (BLK), Bond Market(s), CME, CME fed funds futures, FOMC meeting

SP 500 Earnings: SP Earnings Yield now 5%; A Quick Take on Google’s Earnings Report

July 25, 2026 Brian Gilmartin 3 Comments

The SP 500 “earnings yield” ended the week at 5.03%, it’s highest print since the last week of March, ’26.…

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Posted in: FOMC meeting, GOOGL, Weekly Earnings Update

Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

December 8, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

(H/t Mike Zaccardi) Table from Bank of America showing the change in 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields dating back to…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Ben Bernanke, Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, Federal Reserve, FOMC meeting

Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought

September 13, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While Treasury yields have rallied sharply over the last three weeks (since the end of August) it looks like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, FOMC meeting, stock market sentiment

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Fundamentalis

  • JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America Earnings Previews: Eventually a Return to More Normal Growth
  • Market Breadth Perspective and Avoid Nike After the Guidedown
  • 10-year Treasury Note Greatly Oversold on Eve of September Nonfarm Payroll Report
  • Key Economic Data This Week and the Treasury 10-Year Yield Bias Still Higher
  • Nike Earnings Preview: The Only Bullish Aspect to Nike’s Stock is the Extreme Bearishness

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