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Category: Treasuries

Bond Market Update: Moody’s Tells Investors: “It’s All About the Deficit”

May 18, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

The Moody’s downgrade – the last downgrade from the Aaa level – of U.S. Treasury debt that occurred on Friday,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), Treasuries

Grim Decade for Bonds, but High-Yield Credit Wins in 2024

December 29, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s a decade-to-date total return chart for both the AGG ETF, and the Barclay’s US benchmark index courtesy of YCharts.…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, BASIX (Blackrock Income Fund), Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, High-Yield Credit, HYG, JMSIX (JPMorgan Income Fund), Treasuries

4 Reasons to Be Wary of Today’s Stock and Bond Market

November 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1.) Looking at the sector weights in SP 500 market cap terms as of Friday night, 11/1/24, technology is 32%…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, Credit spreads, Financial sector, Financials, High-Yield Credit, JNK, Market-Cap weights, Technology, TLT, TNX, Treasuries

Are Longer-Maturity Treasuries (TLT) Bottoming and the US Could Probably Use a Mild Recession

October 15, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions is a favorite technician, and his work is read regularly for good reason. The…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, inflation, inflation expectations, TLT, Treasuries

The Treasury Yield Curve Has to Normalize – Eventually

June 1, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thinking about the Treasury yield curve the night before the May ’23 nonfarm payroll report, eventually the Treasury yield curve…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Municipal Bond market, Treasuries, Treasury Yield Curve

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