The 10-year Treasury’s yield closed today at 3.16% and depending on the source you listen to, 3.16% represents the highest yield since 2011 or 2008. The previous 10-year Treasury yield high for 2018 was the high tick of 3.115% on … Continued
This graph, lifted from Chris Kimble Solutions, the great technician out of Cincinnati, show shows the 10-year Treasury yield at a critical juncture. This graph, (I think its from from Charlie Bilello at Pension Partners from Twitter) … Continued
Check the numbers this week: Fwd 4-qtr estimate: $150.32 vs last week’s $147.94 (highly unusual to see this kind of sequential increase) P.E ratio: 18.5x PEG ratio: 1.40x SP 500 earnings yield: 5.40%, vs last weeks 5.39% (despite 3% SP … Continued
Dr. David Kelly and jos team at JP Morgan publish some of the best research i read each quarter in JP Morgan’s quarterly “Guide to the Market” and within that 75 page summary each quarter is a valuation table … Continued
Looking at the “weekly” chart of the TNX, the CBOE 10-year Treasury Yield Index, Id say the 10-year Treasury yield is at a critical level. A trade much lower in yield toward 2% and I’d say that the uptrend … Continued
It was somewhat surprising to hear/read Larry Fink, the BlackRock CEO make a comment on Q2 ’17 earnings, although it was unclear whether he was talking Blackrock’s (BLK) results as a firm, or the economy / SP 500 in general. … Continued
Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial (@ryandetrick post here), UKarlewitz of Fat Pitch fame (@ukarlewitz here), and Charlie Bilello over at Pension Partners (see here) (mentioned in no particular order) all noted on Twitter this past week, that with the first … Continued
There is a whole generation of investors that think that bonds and bond funds, and bond ETF’s are “safe”, i.e. low risk of loss, modest returns, etc. And that has been true for a while. In the late 1990’s, the … Continued
The big news this week was the Treasury market and the rise in yields, but more on that in a minute. With 488 companies having reported Q4 ’16 earnings already, there is little left to know, and instead we look … Continued
At a CFA Chicago lunch about a week ago, Charlie Evans, Head Fed-head at the Chicago Federal Reserve here in the Windy (and balmy) City, talked about how the Fed plans to shrink the $4.5 trillion Fed balance sheet down … Continued