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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Bond Market Asset Class Annual Returns – Rate Cuts ?

March 17, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With the FOMC meeting announcement this coming Wednesday, March 29th, 2024, and Wall Street and the investment community still talking…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, High-Yield Credit, HYG, Uncategorized

SP 500 Earnings Still Solid / 10-Yr Treasury Yield Highest Since Late November ’23

March 15, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Looking at the weekly close of the 10-year US Treasury yield, the final yield print this week at 4.30% is…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, HYG, SHYG, Weekly Earnings Update

Oracle Earnings Preview: Cloud Growth versus Legacy Deterioration – Which Will Win ?

March 11, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Oracle, the large-cap, relational database software giant, reports their fiscal Q3 ’24 financial results after the bell on Monday night,…

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Posted in: ORCL

SP 500: “Everything” is Overbought, not Just Semi’s and Nvidia

March 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big reversal in Nvidia got a lot of attention on Friday, as the market darling closed down 5% on…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, Nvidia (NVDA), SMH (semiconductor ETF)

SP 500 Earnings: Still Seeing Upward Revisions for SP 500 Estimates

March 8, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Oracle (ORCL), Lennar (LEN) and Adobe (ADBE) are the only names that will be of interest next week, in terms…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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