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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Don’t Abandon International Equity, Despite Post-Election Rallies in US Equity and the US Dollar

November 11, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The point of the title of this blog post is meant to persuade readers not to abandon international equity investing,…

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Posted in: International (Non-US), JIRE (JPM International ETF), JPM, Oakmark International

The Math is Starting to Work Against Long-Term US Stock Returns

November 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 (SPY) is up +27.04% YTD as of 11/8/2024. The 2023 total return for the SP 500 was…

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Posted in: Average Annual Return, SP 500 Earnings Yield, SP 500 total return, Weekly Earnings Update

IBM Post-Earnings Summary: Liking “IBM Light”: Buy IBM’s Pullback, as “Old Tech” Finds a Bid

November 4, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

When IBM reported their Q3 ’24 financial results, the night of October 23rd, ’24, the stock has had a nice…

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Posted in: CSCO, IBM, Technology

4 Reasons to Be Wary of Today’s Stock and Bond Market

November 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1.) Looking at the sector weights in SP 500 market cap terms as of Friday night, 11/1/24, technology is 32%…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, Credit spreads, Financial sector, Financials, High-Yield Credit, JNK, Market-Cap weights, Technology, TLT, TNX, Treasuries

SP 500 Earnings: Fed Will Cut Fed Funds 25 bp’s Next Thursday, November 7th

November 1, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Above is the CME’s Fedwatch, cut-and-pasted this morning after the October non-farm payroll report, showing a 99.4% probability of a…

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Posted in: Communications sector, Consumer Discretionary, Financial sector, Financials, Technology, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • International Investing: International Outperformance vs SP 500 is Healthy, and it’s Still Early
  • Walmart Earnings Summary: Staying the Course, Looking to Add to the Stock
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield Chart and What 2027 Energy Sector Estimates are Saying
  • Walmart Earnings Preview: The Flywheel is Still Flywheelin’ but Ultimately, Operating Margin Needs to Improve
  • SP 500 EPS / Revenue Growth, and Amazon Earnings

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