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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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SP 500 Earnings: Watch Credit Spreads to Gauge Recession Risk

August 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With large-cap or mega-cap technology earnings pretty much over with this week, (Nvidia reports late August ’24, and then Oracle…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit, HYG

Merck / Pfizer Earnings Summaries: Staying w Merck for Now, Pfizer’s Cost-Cutting Will Help Margins

July 31, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In the tale of two large-cap pharma stocks it was a contrast in expectations, and performance on Tuesday morning, July…

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Posted in: MRK, PFE

Pfizer and Merck’s Earnings Previews: Uncorrelated to Big Tech, and Growth Styles

July 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Both Merck and Pfizer are expected to report their Q2 ’24 financial results on Tuesday morning, July 30 ’24, before…

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Posted in: MRK, PFE

The Coming Week: FOMC Statement, Lots of Labor Market Data, and More SP 500 Earnings Data

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It’s a busy week for economic data, both monthly and quarterly, as well as the all-important FOMC statement on monetary…

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Posted in: CME fed funds futures, Federal Reserve, Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings: Capex is not Earnings / Tech Revisions Still Positive

July 26, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Occasionally this blog posts this – what is essentially a net income chart from LSEG I/B/E/S – for the SP…

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Posted in: Capex, GOOG, GOOGL, MSFT, Technology

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Fundamentalis

  • Technology Sector: Looking at the Last 5 Quarters “Upside Surprise” Factor
  • SP 500 Earnings: Nothing Much This Week, but Don’t Ignore Non-Correlated
  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

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