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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

PE Contraction in ’25 Might Matter More, Ed Yardeni, Worry When the 10-year Treasury Yield hits 5%, Expect a Bumpier ’25

December 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Ed Yardeni was featured on CNBC’s Morning “Squawk Box” with Brian Sullivan and Sara Eisen on Friday, December 27th, 2024,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 expected stock and bond market returns, PE expansion / contraction, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: The Incredibly-Strong US Dollar Needs to Gradually Weaken

December 22, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Usually this blog sees more frequent posts and updates on a whole spate of investment areas and topics, but an…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, DXY, UUP Filed under: DXY

FOMC Release & Micron Earnings Preview: Macro and Micro

December 18, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The last FOMC announcement of 2024 is coming in a few hours. Here’s what the current fed funds futures market…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CME fed funds futures, FOMC meeting, Monetary policy, mu

SP 500 Earnings Update: Big Week for Labor Market Data / Treasuries Rallied Sharply Last week

November 30, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The following table from Briefing.com lists the scheduled economic data releases for December 2nd through December 6th, and like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Labor Market Data, Monthly payroll report

Annual Bond Market Returns: Jay Powell Would Probably Like to Return to a Positively-Sloped Yield Curve

November 17, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s the annual returns for the various bond asset classes as of 10/31/24: The surprising metric as of 10/31/24, was…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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