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Category: PE expansion / contraction

PE Contraction in ’25 Might Matter More, Ed Yardeni, Worry When the 10-year Treasury Yield hits 5%, Expect a Bumpier ’25

December 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Ed Yardeni was featured on CNBC’s Morning “Squawk Box” with Brian Sullivan and Sara Eisen on Friday, December 27th, 2024,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 expected stock and bond market returns, PE expansion / contraction, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: So Far, the Pattern is Typical, But Mega-cap Earnings This Week Loom Large

April 20, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In this “Market Cap vs Earnings Weight” post from March 28th, ’24, the dynamic between the two “weights” was discussed…

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Posted in: 2000, PE expansion / contraction, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500: Annual Return vs Annual Earnings Growth

December 22, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Source: internal spreadsheet The above is a spreadsheet listing dating back to the early 1990’s, showing annual SP 500 earnings…

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Posted in: PE expansion / contraction

SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Forward Estimates Still Improving, as Higher Rates Stifle Multiple Expansion

September 2, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Briefing.com’s economic release calendar for the coming week is quieter than last week’s calendar. The Services PMI still matters given…

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Posted in: 1994, HYG, PE expansion / contraction, WMT

SP 500 Earnings: Lots of Banks Report This Week / A Classic Year of PE Expansion for SP 500

July 15, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Lots of banks reporting this week. The global custodial banks like State Street (STT), Bank of New York Mellon (BK)…

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Posted in: Financial sector, PE expansion / contraction, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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