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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Bond Market Annual Returns: Beware of Curve Steepening

July 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The last time the Fed cut the fed funds rate, the Fed easing monetary policy started with Janet Yellen in…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return

SP 500 Earnings: Healthy Quarterly Bump in SP 500 Forward Estimate / Tech Sector Trends

July 6, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big banks start reporting next Friday, July 12th, ’24. Look for JP Morgan (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

A Red Flag / SP 500 Annual Returns / Top 10 Holdings

July 4, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In JPMorgan’s (JPM), “Guide to the Market” presentation last Monday, July 1 ’24, Dr. David Kelly, JPMorgan’s Chief Global Strategist,…

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Posted in: SP 500 annual return

A Look at SP 500 Sector EPS and Revenue Growth Trends into Q2 ’24

June 29, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Data source: LSEG (formerly IBES data by Refinitiv) Q2 ’24 SP earnings will start in the next two weeks –…

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Posted in: Communications sector, Financial sector, Financials, Health Care sector, Sector Earnings Growth Estimates, SP 500 Revenue Growth, Technology

SP 500 Earnings: June Payroll Report Next Friday

June 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thanks to the above table from Briefing.com, it’s labor force data week, with JOLTS due out Tuesday morning, ADP Wednesday…

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Posted in: Uncategorized

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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