This weekly chart of the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (AGG) ETF, shows it bumping into formidable resistance at the 200-week moving average. For readers, 44% of the AGG is “Government” with 39% of the 44% Being Treasuries, 25% of the … Continued
The SP 500 must hold 2,532 or the February 9th, 2018 low today and the rest of the week. What’s interesting is that as the SP 500 has toyed with this level this week, the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (AGG) or … Continued
Great article from Ben Carlson, CFA picked up by Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth. In this blog post from a few days ago, here is what I was thinking of when evaluation the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (AGG), the bond market’s … Continued
Always grateful when the thoughtful and measured Jeff Miller, the author of one of Seeking Alpha’s more popular weekly columns, “Weighing the Week Ahead” mentions this blog in the weekly market recap. Jeff writes a very thorough piece – that … Continued
This graph, lifted from Chris Kimble Solutions, the great technician out of Cincinnati, show shows the 10-year Treasury yield at a critical juncture. This graph, (I think its from from Charlie Bilello at Pension Partners from Twitter) … Continued
The US economy, as well as global GDP growth is accelerating off a slow, post-2008 below-average pace; SP 500 earnings are expected at 10% in 2017 and 11% in 2018, the best year(s) of growth since 2011; Sentiment is starting … Continued
“Sometimes it is good to have reminders of the mistakes you’ve made.” Brian Bosworth, “The Boz”, ESPN’s 30-for-30 —————————————————————————————— If there is one trade that I haven’t done a good job for clients with off the ’09 low, it has … Continued
After last Wednesday’s Federal Reserve (FOMC) announcement, the aspect that most impressed me about Janet Yellen’s comments was how “dovish” her commentary was, revising down GDP estimates, making moderate comments about inflation and growth, and in general sounding quite “bond … Continued
We had another ugly day in Treasuries today, Wednesday, May 6th, 2015. Here are the recent returns for the IEF (first column) and TLT (second column), the iShares Barclay’s Treasury ETF’s: 1-month:-2.19%, -7.71% YTD: +0.53%, -3.61% 1-year: +5.41%. +10.47% 3-year:+5.66%. … Continued
You always want to be careful when making blanket statements around any investing topic, but if one studies the math around stock and bond volatility, an easy way to reduce portfolio volatility is to add fixed-income securities to a portfolio … Continued