Two charts from two very good technical analysts: The first chart is from Gary Morrow, a hedge fund manager in San Luis Obispo, California. Gary is noting the key level on the TLT, which is $116.51 or … Continued
(The weekly SP 500 earnings update will be out early Sunday morning – the close in the 10-year Treasury yield on Friday, April 20th, could be a game changer and SP 500 earnings might take a back seat what is … Continued
The 10-year Treasury yield is two bp’s away from its 2018 high of 2.95% and through that level is 3% – 3.03% which are the 2013 high ticks for the key Treasury security, and once we take out 3.03% we … Continued
Always grateful when the thoughtful and measured Jeff Miller, the author of one of Seeking Alpha’s more popular weekly columns, “Weighing the Week Ahead” mentions this blog in the weekly market recap. Jeff writes a very thorough piece – that … Continued
The SP 500 earnings yield ended Friday, March 23, 2018 at 6.11%, higher than the 6% print on February 9th, 2018. Of course since the week of February 9th, the SP 500 forward estimate has risen from $157.28 to this … Continued
Longtime readers that pay attention to SP 500 earnings know that the typical pattern for the “forward 4-qtr estimate” is that its high print usually occurs the first week of every quarter as the trailing quarter falls off and the … Continued
“And then they shelled the Pizza Hut”. A friend from the neighborhood who went to West Point and spent five years in the Army with 6 months in Afghanistan at the Kandahar airfield is polite enough to answer questions about … Continued
This graph, lifted from Chris Kimble Solutions, the great technician out of Cincinnati, show shows the 10-year Treasury yield at a critical juncture. This graph, (I think its from from Charlie Bilello at Pension Partners from Twitter) … Continued
https://insight.factset.com/record-number-of-sp-500-companies-issuing-positive-eps-guidance-for-2018 The above link may be the best summary of this week’s earnings “action” but Factset notes pointedly that “A record number of SP 500 companies are issuing positive EPS guidance for 2018”. Here is the Thomson Reuters data (by … Continued
Given the market action this week, i wondered if Street analysts would pull in their bullishness on forward SP 500 estimates and that absolutely didn’t happen. Here is the Thomson Reuters data by the numbers: Fwd 4-qtr est: $157.28 P.E … Continued