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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Does Bond Market Instability Result in the Fed Easing Sooner Than This Summer ?

April 11, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Rick Rieder, Blackrock’s CIO, held his monthly call with investors on Monday, April 7th at 7 am central time. Usually…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield

JPMorgan Earnings Preview: Tough Compares Meet Harder Capital Markets

April 9, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Now the world’s premier banking institution, with the banking world’s premier CEO, JPMorgan (JPM) will report their Q1 ’25 financial…

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Posted in: JPM

SP 500 Earnings: Earnings Are a Crapshoot Now / Banks Look to Price in a Recession

April 5, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 is down 17% – 18% from it’s all-time-high in mid-February ’25. The SP 500 is down -13.53%…

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Posted in: BAC, C, Financial sector, Financials, JPM, MS, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Down Just 5% YTD / High-Yield Credit Has Widened Some / Good Breadth A Positive

March 30, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

You’d never know it looking at the sentiment data, but the SPY (SP 500 ETF) is down just -4.91% YTD.…

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Posted in: Bespoke, High-Yield Credit, Market breadth

Nike Earnings Summary: It’s Going to Be a Slow Turn as Inventory Continues to be Liquidated

March 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In this blog’s Nike earnings preview posted for readers earlier last week, it was noted that CFO Matt Friend’s guidance…

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Posted in: NKE

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Fundamentalis

  • Inflation Expectations vs. 10-year Treasury Yield – the (2nd) Great Conundrum
  • Fixed-Income Annual Returns and Falling Crude Oil Prices
  • International Returns Starting to Shine, But Probably Not Like March, 2000 through 2007
  • Big Jump in Q1 ’25 SP 500 EPS: “Upside Surprise” for Q1 ’25 is +7%
  • SP 500 Earnings: Updating Q2 ’25 EPS Trends / Q1 ’25 Earnings Look Great

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