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Fundamentalis

Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Aiming for 4th Year in a Row of Double-Digit SP 500 Returns: Buyer Beware

December 1, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Listening to these firms announce their SP 500 price targets for 2026, it’s easy to draw the conclusion that the…

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Posted in: SP 500 forecast(s), SP 500 Historical Framework, SP 500 long-term returns

Walmart Earnings Summary: The Bigger Picture Story: Walmart is Closing the Gap with Amazon in E-commerce

November 24, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Walmart reported their fiscal Q3 ’26 financial results last Thursday morning, November 20th, ’25, and the stock bounced sharply during…

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Posted in: Amazon, WMT

Walmart Earnings Preview: Tariff Impact Fading, Still Looking for Margin Gains Ahead

November 18, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

If the sell-side consensus estimate is met for Walmart’s fiscal Q3 ’26 (essentially calendar ’25 with a January ’26 quarter…

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Posted in: Amazon, WMT

SP 500 Earnings and Style-Box Update

November 17, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Starting off a little differently this week, click on the above excel spreadsheet and note the expected annual SP 500…

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Posted in: Style analysis, Weekly Earnings Update

International Annual Returns, The Breakout in the Nikkei, and Top 10 Holdings

November 14, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It’s no mystery that international has outperformed the SP 500 in 2025, and not by a small amount. The dollar’s…

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Posted in: annual return, EMXC, EWJ - iShares Japan ETF, International (Non-US), International Equity (JFEAX), JPMorgan Int'l Developed Value (JFEAX), Nikkei Filed under: iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

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Fundamentalis

  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back

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