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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

Inflation Still Better than Deflation / Jackson Hole in 2023

August 24, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With Jay Powell set to release annual statement around the 2023 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday morning, August 25th,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Ben Bernanke, Bond Market(s), Federal Reserve

SP 500 Earnings: Still Moving Higher / Quick Look at Apple Revenue / All About Interest Rates

August 19, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Just updated the spreadsheet for Apple this week, with latest EPS and revenue estimates. Like much of the large-cap tech…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Apple (AAPL), Bespoke, Weekly Earnings Update

Will the US Treasury Market Have a Decade Like Stocks Did from 2000 to 2009 ? (Inflation data this week)

August 6, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 fell roughly 2.25% last week – it’s first weekly decline since mid-May ’23 – per the technical…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, CPI / PPI, inflation, TLT

SP 500 Earnings: Forward Estimates Have Definitely Firmed

August 5, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Last week’s blog post could have been cut-and-pasted again, and left as this week’s blog post, but it’s best to…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

Tech Overheating and a Tough May ’23 for Treasuries

May 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

May ’23 still has 2 days remaining but here’s the basis point change in Treasuries (as of Friday, May 26)…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Technology, Treasuries

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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