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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

Are Longer-Maturity Treasuries (TLT) Bottoming and the US Could Probably Use a Mild Recession

October 15, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions is a favorite technician, and his work is read regularly for good reason. The…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, inflation, inflation expectations, TLT, Treasuries

SP 500: How are 2024 SP 500 EPS Estimates Shaping Up ?

October 14, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In a nutshell, so far so good. Here’s a quick look at the trend in 2024’s SP 500 EPS: Source:…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 SP 500 EPS estimates, Bespoke, Weekly Earnings Update

It’s Still All About Interest Rates and the US Economic Data

October 1, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Anytime during the trading day the last few weeks, when the 10-year Treasury yield moved to multi-year highs, the dollar…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CME fed funds futures, Federal Reserve, Municipal Bond market

The 10-year Treasury Yield Break Above 4.35% is Worrisome

September 23, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Despite the commentary around Jay Powell’s “hawkish commentary” at the Wednesday, September 20th, ’23 FOMC presser, the odds that the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, FOMC meeting, Weekly Earnings Update

Economic Growth is Good, Unless You Are a Bond Market

September 7, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

What spooked the Treasury market on Wednesday, September 6th, 2023, when the 10-year Treasury yield traded up to 4.30% once…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, annual return, GDP, TLT

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