The first rate cut in – what – 8 or 10 years just 6 weeks ago, saw the SP 500 and the high-yield credit markets sell off sharply. The selling continued through the first half of August as the SP … Continued
The JNK high-yield ETF looks the best of our three charts today, already having transcended the downward sloping trend line off the 2014 peak. The HYG is sitting just above resistance at the downward sloping trendline off … Continued
Before the last January ’18, February ’18 plunge in the equity markets. the SP 500 peaked on January 26th, 2018 at 2,872 – 2,873. With Friday night’s close at 2,945, the total gain for the SP 500 (excluding dividends) is … Continued
The SP 500 closed within one point of September, 2018 all-time last Friday. You’d have to think “everyone” is watching what happens this week. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback here since the SP 500 usually takes a … Continued
Sourcing Bloomberg / Barclays data, are the YTD returns for the bond market asset classes as of Friday, April 12th, 2019: US Corp HiGrade: +5.13% US Corp High Yld: +8.14% Mortgages (MBS): +1.89% Municipals: +2,67% US Treas: +1.32% US TIPS: … Continued
This weekly chart of the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (AGG) ETF, shows it bumping into formidable resistance at the 200-week moving average. For readers, 44% of the AGG is “Government” with 39% of the 44% Being Treasuries, 25% of the … Continued
Take any forecast or expected return discussion for 2019 with a substantial grain of salt. In 2017, this blog’s forecast for the SP 500 was pretty solid, looking for a 20% year where, in fact, the SP 500 returned 21.5% … Continued
Talking with my yoga instructor this week about the market – she does one-on-one yoga sessions with many CME traders and hedge fund types – and while explaining I really wasn’t a trader for my clients, but more of a … Continued
Check back in tomorrow morning for the weekly SP 500 earnings data, i.e. Saturday morning, November 3rd, 2018. One aspect to the October drop in stocks, is that there was no flight to Treasuries. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped from … Continued
Great article from Ben Carlson, CFA picked up by Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth. In this blog post from a few days ago, here is what I was thinking of when evaluation the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (AGG), the bond market’s … Continued