Take any forecast or expected return discussion for 2019 with a substantial grain of salt. In 2017, this blog’s forecast for the SP 500 was pretty solid, looking for a 20% year where, in fact, the SP 500 returned 21.5% … Continued
Talking with my yoga instructor this week about the market – she does one-on-one yoga sessions with many CME traders and hedge fund types – and while explaining I really wasn’t a trader for my clients, but more of a … Continued
Check back in tomorrow morning for the weekly SP 500 earnings data, i.e. Saturday morning, November 3rd, 2018. One aspect to the October drop in stocks, is that there was no flight to Treasuries. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped from … Continued
Great article from Ben Carlson, CFA picked up by Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth. In this blog post from a few days ago, here is what I was thinking of when evaluation the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (AGG), the bond market’s … Continued
(The weekly SP 500 earnings update will be posted tomorrow, i.e. Saturday, 10/6/18.) One of the reasons I chose the investment management business as a career, is that I was fortunate to have been studying economics and Money & Banking, … Continued
The first look at Q2 ’18 GDP will be Friday morning, July 27th, 2018 and expectations have risen sharply throughout the quarter. Some think Q2 ’18 GDP could hit 4% – 5%, but the prognosticators don’t really provide where the … Continued
(The Weekly Earnings Update will be delayed this coming weekend – it likely wont hit your inbox until Sunday night, July 15th or Monday morning, July 16th, 2018. Thanks for your patience.) The June payroll report last week showed that … Continued
Europe is weak, China seems to be weakening, trade and tariff issues have suddenly made everyone nervous even though the dollar amounts seem to have been reduced so does that mean Treasuries are poised for a decent rally here ? … Continued
https://www.frbsf.org/education/publications/doctor-econ/2013/march/federal-reserve-interest-balances-reserves/ One article read this weekend – think it was from the CNBC app – noted that the surprise with this week’s FOMC announcement could be that that the Fed starts paying interest on member bank deposits ? I have … Continued
Two charts from two very good technical analysts: The first chart is from Gary Morrow, a hedge fund manager in San Luis Obispo, California. Gary is noting the key level on the TLT, which is $116.51 or … Continued