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Category: 60/40 portfolio

So Many Market Narratives, Don’t Forget Price

April 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Promised readers in this weekend’s SP 500 earnings comments that a quick history of the “upside surprise” for SP 500…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, FOMC meeting, High-Yield Credit, HYG, Market breadth

Are Cracks Starting to Appear ? Midterm election years, Energy, SP 500 Earnings Yield (and more)…

October 16, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Yellen on Treasury market illiquidity: It’s interesting that Janet Yellen raised the specter of buying Treasuries this past week, without…

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Posted in: 1994, 60/40 portfolio, FB, Meta, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Tesla

What’s the True Inflation Rate ?

May 23, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bespoke put up a couple of good charts today showing TIPS breakevens beginning to fall and the 5-year breakeven with…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, inflation

SP 500 Earnings: Q1 ’22 Earnings are Fine; All About the Fed Meeting This Week

May 1, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

SP 500 YTD decline: -12.99% Barclay’s Agg YTD decline: -9.43% 60/40 portfolio YTD decline: -11.57% At the FOMC meeting this…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, Energy ETF's (XLE, Energy sector, FOMC meeting

Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Fed Funds Rate Hike Probability for June, Jumps Sharply
  • SP 500 Earnings: Sharp Jump in Treasury Yields / Nvidia and April PCE data This Coming Week
  • Style-Box Update: 5/15/23 – Growth Resumes Outperformance / Don’t Forget Non-US / Russell 2000
  • SP 500 Earnings: Financial and Energy Sectors
  • SP 500 Earnings: Big Jump in Q1 ’23 SP 500 EPS Estimate

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