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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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SP 500 Earnings: How Long Can SP 500 Earnings Hold Up?

September 23, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 has fallen 8.5% – 9%, the last two weeks. Ugly. The 10-year Treasury yield ended August, ’22…

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Posted in: mu, NKE, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: Is SP 500 EPS Revision Data Signalling More Fedex’s Are Coming ?

September 17, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500  fell 4.77% this week, while the 60% / 40% balanced portfolio’s YTD return fell to -15.6% versus…

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Posted in: FDX, Liquidity Trap, SP 500 estimate revision data, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: You have to Respect the Bear Case

September 11, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

After last week, the 2022 YTD return on the 60% / 40% benchmark portfolio is -12.78%, improved from the previous…

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Posted in: HYG, Weekly Earnings Update

A Dollar Potentially Poised for Reversal After Maximum Pessimism for Europe

September 7, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The interesting thing about Tuesday’s, September 6th, ’22’s price action was that crude ended the day flat or just slightly…

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Posted in: Emerging Markets, EMXC, Oakmark International, US Dollar, UUP

On the Fed Being Behind the Curve (Again), Secular Bull Markets, and Annual Returns

September 5, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The thought looking at the softening economic data, is that the Fed and Jay Powell could be “behind the curve”…

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Posted in: annual return, Housing, Monetary policy, Monthly payroll report, SP 500 long-term returns Filed under: Monetary policy

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