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10-Year Treasury Yield Nears Critical Level – Don’t Be Surprised by a Treasury Rally

January 13, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above chart is the 10-year Treasury “yield” contract, traded at the CBOE. Readers can see a break in the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield

Earnings Previews: Both JPMorgan and Citigroup Report This Week

January 12, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Both JPMorgan (JPM) and Citigroup (C) report Wednesday morning, January 15th, 2025 before the opening bell. Both stocks had a…

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Posted in: C, JPM

Strong December Jobs Supports Strong SP 500 Earnings, But Maybe Not a Big Year for Stock Returns

January 10, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

By my count, 21 financial institutions are expected to report their Q4 ’24 earnings next week, including most of the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

Nvidia’s Tough Post-CES Trade: NVDA Forward EPS and Revenue Estimates

January 7, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Nvidia fell 6% on Tuesday, January 7th, 2025, after Jensen Huang’s seemingly optimistic CES speech, which seemed to focus on…

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Posted in: Nvidia (NVDA)

More Jobs Data This Coming Week: Nothing to Suggest a Change in Trend is Afoot

January 4, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Since the forecasts were so inaccurate in 2022, through 2023, you rarely hear any kind of recession talk these days,…

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Posted in: Monthly payroll report

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Some Improvement is Expected; The 7% Free-Cash-Flow Yield Helps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Q2 ’25 Earnings Should be Ok; The Attention Turns to Q3 ’25 Guidance

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