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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Bond and International Returns YTD Still Not Much to Crow About

December 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1-year annual returns for a number of the bond market asset classes slid lower in November ’24, thanks primarily to…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, AGG, International (Non-US)

Intel Rehashed: What Went Wrong ? Maybe the Better Question is, “What Didn’t ?

December 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The announcement that Pat Gelsinger “retired” on December 1st, 2024 came as a surprise this morning, and at first the…

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Posted in: INTC

Trump ’16-’17 vs. Trump’24 -’25: The Stock Market “Math” Still Looks Tough

December 1, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Barrons (www.barrons.com) had a good article (subscription may be required) on the prospects for 2025 stock market returns this weekend,…

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Posted in: 2025 expected stock and bond market returns

SP 500 Earnings Update: Big Week for Labor Market Data / Treasuries Rallied Sharply Last week

November 30, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The following table from Briefing.com lists the scheduled economic data releases for December 2nd through December 6th, and like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Labor Market Data, Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings Data Won’t Call a Market Top

November 24, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Having written a weekend blog post on trends in SP 500 earnings data for the last 20 years, it’s important…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Inflation Expectations vs. 10-year Treasury Yield – the (2nd) Great Conundrum
  • Fixed-Income Annual Returns and Falling Crude Oil Prices
  • International Returns Starting to Shine, But Probably Not Like March, 2000 through 2007
  • Big Jump in Q1 ’25 SP 500 EPS: “Upside Surprise” for Q1 ’25 is +7%
  • SP 500 Earnings: Updating Q2 ’25 EPS Trends / Q1 ’25 Earnings Look Great

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