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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

SP 500 Earnings: Nvidia Earnings Overshadow the July GDP and PCE Data

August 27, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With Jay Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech last Friday morning, and the FOMC’s new (apparent) commitment to lowering the fed funds…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, GDP, Nvidia (NVDA), PCE / PCE Core, PCE data, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: CPI Print Wednesday, Walmart Earnings Thursday, and Don’t Forget Inflation Expectations

August 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big economic print this week will be Wednesday’s July CPI and Core CPI, which along with Thursday’s July Retail…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, inflation, inflation expectations, Weekly Earnings Update

Jobless Claims and Credit Spreads – An Update

August 7, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While I thought last week’s jobless claims number of +255,000 was the highest print in the last year (and was…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Credit markets, jobless claims

SP 500 Earnings: Watch Credit Spreads to Gauge Recession Risk

August 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With large-cap or mega-cap technology earnings pretty much over with this week, (Nvidia reports late August ’24, and then Oracle…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit, HYG

SP 500 Earnings: Large-Cap Growth Corrects as High Yield Credit Spreads Tighten

July 20, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

As of Thursday night, July 18, 2024, only 70 companies had reported Q2 ’24 earnings results, so the sample size…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
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  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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