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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

Annual Bond Market Returns: Jay Powell Would Probably Like to Return to a Positively-Sloped Yield Curve

November 17, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s the annual returns for the various bond asset classes as of 10/31/24: The surprising metric as of 10/31/24, was…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return

SP 500 Earnings: Nvidia Earnings Overshadow the July GDP and PCE Data

August 27, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With Jay Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech last Friday morning, and the FOMC’s new (apparent) commitment to lowering the fed funds…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, GDP, Nvidia (NVDA), PCE / PCE Core, PCE data, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: CPI Print Wednesday, Walmart Earnings Thursday, and Don’t Forget Inflation Expectations

August 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big economic print this week will be Wednesday’s July CPI and Core CPI, which along with Thursday’s July Retail…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, inflation, inflation expectations, Weekly Earnings Update

Jobless Claims and Credit Spreads – An Update

August 7, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While I thought last week’s jobless claims number of +255,000 was the highest print in the last year (and was…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Credit markets, jobless claims

SP 500 Earnings: Watch Credit Spreads to Gauge Recession Risk

August 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With large-cap or mega-cap technology earnings pretty much over with this week, (Nvidia reports late August ’24, and then Oracle…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit, HYG

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Fundamentalis

  • IBM Earnings Preview: A Maddening Long Since the Late ’24 Breakout
  • JPMorgan, CitiBank Earnings Previews: Share Repurchases and Capital Return Are Probably Under-Appreciated
  • SP 500 Earnings: Quarterly Bump, 4th Year in a Row of +10% Returns, SP 500 Earnings Yield
  • Thinking About the 60% / 40% Balanced Portfolio – “Average, Annual” Bond Returns
  • Micron Technology Earnings Summary: Perspective on the Memory Cycle and Micron’s Business Model Adjustments To It

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