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Author: Brian Gilmartin

The Math is Starting to Work Against Long-Term US Stock Returns

November 10, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 (SPY) is up +27.04% YTD as of 11/8/2024. The 2023 total return for the SP 500 was…

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Posted in: Average Annual Return, SP 500 Earnings Yield, SP 500 total return, Weekly Earnings Update

IBM Post-Earnings Summary: Liking “IBM Light”: Buy IBM’s Pullback, as “Old Tech” Finds a Bid

November 4, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

When IBM reported their Q3 ’24 financial results, the night of October 23rd, ’24, the stock has had a nice…

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Posted in: CSCO, IBM, Technology

4 Reasons to Be Wary of Today’s Stock and Bond Market

November 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1.) Looking at the sector weights in SP 500 market cap terms as of Friday night, 11/1/24, technology is 32%…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, Credit spreads, Financial sector, Financials, High-Yield Credit, JNK, Market-Cap weights, Technology, TLT, TNX, Treasuries

SP 500 Earnings: Fed Will Cut Fed Funds 25 bp’s Next Thursday, November 7th

November 1, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Above is the CME’s Fedwatch, cut-and-pasted this morning after the October non-farm payroll report, showing a 99.4% probability of a…

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Posted in: Communications sector, Consumer Discretionary, Financial sector, Financials, Technology, Weekly Earnings Update

Amazon / Apple Earnings Previews: Amazon is a Little More Favored Here than Apple

October 30, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

When Amazon reports after their Q3 ’24 quarter after the closing bell on Thursday night, October 31, analyst consensus is…

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Posted in: Amazon, Apple (AAPL), WMT

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Some Improvement is Expected; The 7% Free-Cash-Flow Yield Helps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Q2 ’25 Earnings Should be Ok; The Attention Turns to Q3 ’25 Guidance

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