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Fundamentalis

Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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International Returns Starting to Shine, But Probably Not Like March, 2000 through 2007

May 4, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above asset-class return quilt was posted to X late last week by FinGenAI (@ackmeni), and is originally sourced from…

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Posted in: GLD, Gold, International (Non-US), International Equity (JFEAX)

Big Jump in Q1 ’25 SP 500 EPS: “Upside Surprise” for Q1 ’25 is +7%

May 2, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Source: LSEG Earnings Scorecard This table shows the sharp jump in just the last week in the Q1 ’25 SP…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: Updating Q2 ’25 EPS Trends / Q1 ’25 Earnings Look Great

April 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above chart shows that the “expected” SP 500 EPS growth by sector has lost about 600 bp’s or 6%…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

A Look at Annual Returns (Again)

April 24, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

(Click on above spreadsheet.) This chart may be puzzling to some, but shows “annual” or what is sometimes called “annualized…

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Posted in: annual return, SP 500 annual return

Tesla Earnings Preview: The Delay of the “Under $30k” Tesla Was a Big Disappointment

April 22, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In market environments like today, it’s very tough to attempt to discern when a stock or security has fully discounted…

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Posted in: Tesla

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Fundamentalis

  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

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