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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Category: S&P 500

Housing vs Stocks: Stocks Win (Good article)

September 5, 2021 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

One of our favorite sources of capital markets research is the Bespoke work and the weekly Bespoke Report. Once again,…

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Posted in: Housing, S&P 500, SPY

The 10-Year Treasury Yield and a Year of P.E Compression ?

April 1, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Always grateful when the thoughtful and measured Jeff Miller, the author of one of Seeking Alpha’s more popular weekly columns,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, Bond Market(s), S&P 500, SP 500 forecast(s), TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT

SP 500 Still Reasonably Valued – Doesn’t Mean the Benchmark Won’t Have a Tough Year

February 18, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Each quarter, we get the JP Morgan “Guide to the Markets” which I think is chock full of good…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), PE expansion / contraction, S&P 500, SP 500 Valuation

What’s Driving this Stock Market – P.E Expansion or Earnings Growth ?

January 28, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here is the data: Estimated 2018 SP 500 EPS growth, with accompanying P.E 1/26/2018: +16%, 18.7x 1/19/2018: +15%, 18.5x 1/12/2018:…

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Posted in: Earnings estimate revisions, PE expansion / contraction, S&P 500

Style-Box Strategy Update and the Most Interesting Tweet of the Week

November 18, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Late Friday, November 17, 2017 @SentimentTrader posted this to Twitter: Interesting. Will we get the typical seasonal rally into the…

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Posted in: Growth v Value, Market breadth, Russell 2000, S&P 500, Style analysis

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Some Improvement is Expected; The 7% Free-Cash-Flow Yield Helps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Q2 ’25 Earnings Should be Ok; The Attention Turns to Q3 ’25 Guidance

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