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Category: Bond Market(s)

A Secular Bull Market – Is this Bull Now 5 or 9 years Old ?

March 10, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Listening to the financial media every day, and watching the stock and bond markets trade, there is always an “immediacy”…

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Posted in: 2018, Bond Market(s), Great Depression, Secular Bull Market

SP 500 Still Reasonably Valued – Doesn’t Mean the Benchmark Won’t Have a Tough Year

February 18, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Each quarter, we get the JP Morgan “Guide to the Markets” which I think is chock full of good…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), PE expansion / contraction, S&P 500, SP 500 Valuation

Could 2018 See 3.9% Unemployment for the First Time Since 1960’s?

January 4, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNU04000000?periods=Annual+Data&periods_option=specific_periods&years_option=all_years The above link is a data set from the BLS for post World War II unemployment rates, and with…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2017 Fiscal Policy, 2017 Tax reform, 2018, Bond Funds, Bond Market(s), Financial sector, Financials

The Bond Market is the Risk in 2018

December 23, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Supposedly, the old-school Sicilian Mafia have an old saying, “the snake lays coiled in Napoli” which supposedly means that in…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT

Are Investors Facing a Decade of Flat to Negative Bond Market Returns ?

March 15, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

There is a whole generation of investors that think that bonds and bond funds, and bond ETF’s are “safe”, i.e.…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Bond Market(s), interest rates, Reversion to the mean, TLT, Treasuries

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