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Category: Bond Market(s)

Could 2018 See 3.9% Unemployment for the First Time Since 1960’s?

January 4, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNU04000000?periods=Annual+Data&periods_option=specific_periods&years_option=all_years The above link is a data set from the BLS for post World War II unemployment rates, and with…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2017 Fiscal Policy, 2017 Tax reform, 2018, Bond Funds, Bond Market(s), Financial sector, Financials

The Bond Market is the Risk in 2018

December 23, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Supposedly, the old-school Sicilian Mafia have an old saying, “the snake lays coiled in Napoli” which supposedly means that in…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT

Are Investors Facing a Decade of Flat to Negative Bond Market Returns ?

March 15, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

There is a whole generation of investors that think that bonds and bond funds, and bond ETF’s are “safe”, i.e.…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Bond Market(s), interest rates, Reversion to the mean, TLT, Treasuries

Can the US Bond Market see a Decade of Flat to Negative Returns as the SP 500 did in the 2000’s ?

November 13, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Jeff Gundlach, the “new” media-appointed Bond King in the last year, (and Jeff has made some good calls) who runs…

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Posted in: Bond Funds, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), MUB, Municipal Bond market, Municipal High Yield, TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT, Treasuries

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Pay Attention to the Longer SP 500 Earnings Trends

September 10, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Well. the long expected correction arrived Friday, September 9th, 2016, perhaps due to the 10-year Treasury yield breaking out of…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), Earnings estimate revisions, Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500), interest rates, LIBOR, Weekly Earnings Update

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