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Category: High-Yield Credit

2019 Bond Asset Class Returns in the Last “Normal” Easing Cycle

September 11, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

2019 was the last year investors saw what could be called “normal” easing cycle driven by macroeconomic growth concerns and…

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Posted in: 2019 Bond Asset Class Returns, 2019 Sector performance, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, High-Yield Credit

SP 500 Earnings: Watch Credit Spreads to Gauge Recession Risk

August 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With large-cap or mega-cap technology earnings pretty much over with this week, (Nvidia reports late August ’24, and then Oracle…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit, HYG

SP 500 Earnings: Large-Cap Growth Corrects as High Yield Credit Spreads Tighten

July 20, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

As of Thursday night, July 18, 2024, only 70 companies had reported Q2 ’24 earnings results, so the sample size…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit

SP 500 Earnings: Strong, and “Upside Surprise” Higher than Last Few Quarters

May 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With tech earnings out of the way, SP 500 earnings continue to be healthy, robust in fact, although that’s been…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, High-Yield Credit, Weekly Earnings Update

Bond Market Asset Class Annual Returns – Rate Cuts ?

March 17, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With the FOMC meeting announcement this coming Wednesday, March 29th, 2024, and Wall Street and the investment community still talking…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, High-Yield Credit, HYG, Uncategorized

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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