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Category: 10-year Treasury yield

SP 500 Earnings: 2025 SP 500 EPS Estimates Continue to be Revised Lower

February 14, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

There is a lot of focus on the 10-year Treasury yield thanks to comments from President Trump and Treasury Secretary…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings This Week: The FOMC Decision, Mega-Cap Tech Earnings, and then December PCE Friday Morning

January 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Source: EarningsWhispers chart Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) all report after the closing bell, Wednesday, January 29th, 2025.…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, FOMC meeting, Industrial sector, Industrials, PCE / PCE Core, PCE data, Weekly Earnings Update

10-Year Treasury Yield Nears Critical Level – Don’t Be Surprised by a Treasury Rally

January 13, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above chart is the 10-year Treasury “yield” contract, traded at the CBOE. Readers can see a break in the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield

Strong December Jobs Supports Strong SP 500 Earnings, But Maybe Not a Big Year for Stock Returns

January 10, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

By my count, 21 financial institutions are expected to report their Q4 ’24 earnings next week, including most of the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

Grim Decade for Bonds, but High-Yield Credit Wins in 2024

December 29, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s a decade-to-date total return chart for both the AGG ETF, and the Barclay’s US benchmark index courtesy of YCharts.…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, BASIX (Blackrock Income Fund), Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, High-Yield Credit, HYG, JMSIX (JPMorgan Income Fund), Treasuries

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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