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So Many Market Narratives, Don’t Forget Price

April 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Promised readers in this weekend’s SP 500 earnings comments that a quick history of the “upside surprise” for SP 500…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, FOMC meeting, High-Yield Credit, HYG, Market breadth

SP 500 Earnings: “Upside Surprise” Very Strong / 2-Year Treasury Yield Tells All

April 28, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The “upside surprise” or beat rates for Q1 ’23 SP 500 earnings are quite strong, with the recent IBES by…

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Posted in: Consumer Discretionary, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: More Inflation Data Due this week, Along with Mega-Cap Tech Earnings

April 21, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The attached template (from Briefing.com) on expected economic data next week, including the first look at Q1 ’23 GDP, the…

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Posted in: Amazon, GOOG, GOOGL, Meta, MSFT, Weekly Earnings Update

International & Non-Us Presents Real Opportunity / US Dollar Should Continue to Weaken

April 20, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

International / Non-US investing has been so out-of-favor for so long, a recent conversation with a long-time friend who has…

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Posted in: International (Non-US), Oakmark International, US Dollar

SP 500 Earnings: PE Expansion vs Contraction – Providing Some Color to the Earnings Narrative

April 16, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 is up +8.27% YTD (per the Morningstar data), while expected S&P 500 earnings (EPS) growth in 2023…

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Posted in: PE expansion / contraction, Tesla, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Fed Funds Rate Hike Probability for June, Jumps Sharply
  • SP 500 Earnings: Sharp Jump in Treasury Yields / Nvidia and April PCE data This Coming Week
  • Style-Box Update: 5/15/23 – Growth Resumes Outperformance / Don’t Forget Non-US / Russell 2000
  • SP 500 Earnings: Financial and Energy Sectors
  • SP 500 Earnings: Big Jump in Q1 ’23 SP 500 EPS Estimate

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