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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Annual Fixed Income Returns: Emerging Markets Lead, Muni’s Lag

December 2, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Here’s a quick look at annual returns across the fixed-income classes as of 11/30/25, with emerging markets income leading the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, annual return, Bond Market(s), TLT

Aiming for 4th Year in a Row of Double-Digit SP 500 Returns: Buyer Beware

December 1, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Listening to these firms announce their SP 500 price targets for 2026, it’s easy to draw the conclusion that the…

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Posted in: SP 500 forecast(s), SP 500 Historical Framework, SP 500 long-term returns

Walmart Earnings Summary: The Bigger Picture Story: Walmart is Closing the Gap with Amazon in E-commerce

November 24, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Walmart reported their fiscal Q3 ’26 financial results last Thursday morning, November 20th, ’25, and the stock bounced sharply during…

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Posted in: Amazon, WMT

Walmart Earnings Preview: Tariff Impact Fading, Still Looking for Margin Gains Ahead

November 18, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

If the sell-side consensus estimate is met for Walmart’s fiscal Q3 ’26 (essentially calendar ’25 with a January ’26 quarter…

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Posted in: Amazon, WMT

SP 500 Earnings and Style-Box Update

November 17, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Starting off a little differently this week, click on the above excel spreadsheet and note the expected annual SP 500…

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Posted in: Style analysis, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week
  • International Equity Annual Returns: Non-Correlated to the US Returns and Don’t Forget Japan

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