The “forward 4-quarter” SP 500 estimate this week came in at $128.45 versus $128.32 from last week, for the first sequential improvement in the “forward 4-quarter estimate” since the week of January 17, 2020. The forward 4-quarter estimate covers the … Continued
This chart is checked every 3 – 6 months. The “average, annual” return on the SP 500 from 1/1/200 is 5.91%, still below the 7% long-term, post WW II average (with a shout-out to all American vets the day after … Continued
So far anyway, although there is another 4 weeks until Q2 ’20 earnings start, here is how 2019 – 2021 SP 500 EPS look: 2021: $164.00 (current estimate for full-year 2021 SP 500 EPS) 2020: $125.48 (current estimate) 2019: $162.93 … Continued
Thanks to David Aurelio and TJ Dhillon at IBES for providing the above data for the trend-watching in y/y growth of Q3 ’20 and Q4 ’20 revenue and EPS for the SP 500. With everyone watching Q2 ’20 – … Continued
Nothing has really changed yet in terms of “style-box” returns with Growth outpacing Value and Large-Cap beating Small-Cap. Late in the week of May 222nd, The CFA Society of Chicago held a webinar with Gina Adams of Bloomberg (one … Continued
The constant focus on SP 500 earnings often overlooks the importance of SP 500 revenue. The same quality analysis of SP 500 earnings by IBES data by Refinitiv, doesn’t always extend to SP 500 revenue. Readers of Refinitiv data reports … Continued
Bespoke’s research is dollar-for-dollar one of the best returns for the expense that Trinity sees every year. From the Bespoke Weekly Report, this one page details the history of 25% rallies over 40 days, and what that portends for … Continued
First off, a quick “hat-tip” or shout-out to Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe at DataTrek Research, which have been posting similar FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis) charts on the US corporate credit markets. After … Continued
Using Refinitiv’s Earnings Aggregates published this morning, Friday, May 22nd, 2020, and updating our spreadsheet, readers can see the continued decline in the rate of erosion in forward estimates, which – all other things being equal – should be … Continued
This weekend’s Weekly Earnings Update which was really the SP 500 forward earnings curve is/was another sign that SP 500 earnings revisions are getting less negative. There are different ways we can look at the core IBES data (provided by Refinitiv), … Continued