Tremendous article by Josh Brown today on Second Chances. Couldn’t let it pass: https://thereformedbroker.com/2019/03/21/second-chances-are-important/ ————————————————- In the 1990’s the two sectors moved together and at one point in the early 2000’s, both sectors together comprised close to 50% of the market … Continued
This chart got a lot of play on Twitter on Friday and Saturday morning and it tells an important, but also stimulates a more important question (maybe): Just how far out does the SP 500 (the index) discount earnings … Continued
Here is a quick summary of how client’s were positioned in 2018, and what worked and what didnt: Microsoft (MSFT) remains client’s largest position and has been since 2013. A core position was kept in the stock during the last … Continued
This was a relevant post by David Templeton of Horan Capital Advisors this week. I thought it was best addressed by doing a quick spreadsheet on updating the EPS estimates for the Top 10 Market Cap weights in the SP … Continued
Seasonally, the SP 500 is entering one it’s strongest periods of the calendar year. The SPY’s YTD total return as of Friday, 10/19/18, was about 5%, while the XLF and KRE ETF’s returned -3% and -6% respectively, YTD. Client’s largest … Continued
The Financial sector is one of client’s overweights and it’s lagged the SP 500 badly all year. Up just 2% YTD, versus the roughly 8% total return for the SP 500, banks and brokers have been pretty punk, with the … Continued
One of the classic years we saw “PE compression” was 1994, when Alan Greenspan really caught the Street and the investment community off guard, and raised the fed funds rate 6 times that year, after a surprisingly-strong Q4 ’93 GDP … Continued
Investing is about assessing probability and the performance of the Financial sector the last 5 months, (the XLF anyway) has been less than robust and is testing critical technical support. Bernie Schaeffer’s “Chart of the Week” (Schaeffer Investment … Continued
Because of the diminished long-terms returns-on-invested-capital and the inability for many commodity companies to build what Mr. Buffett and Morningstar call the “sustainable moat”, clients have never owned substantial positions in commodity companies for longer periods of time. Yes, Alcoa … Continued
Longtime readers that pay attention to SP 500 earnings know that the typical pattern for the “forward 4-qtr estimate” is that its high print usually occurs the first week of every quarter as the trailing quarter falls off and the … Continued