Longtime readers that pay attention to SP 500 earnings know that the typical pattern for the “forward 4-qtr estimate” is that its high print usually occurs the first week of every quarter as the trailing quarter falls off and the … Continued
This blog post (see link) was written last December, 2017, and given tax reform and the hefty 6% return for the SP 500 in January, 2018, I thought a refresher might be in order. Since Thomson doesn’t publish annual revenue … Continued
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNU04000000?periods=Annual+Data&periods_option=specific_periods&years_option=all_years The above link is a data set from the BLS for post World War II unemployment rates, and with the US economy currently sitting at 4.1% unemployment the night before the December ’17 non-farm payroll and unemployment data are … Continued
Here (above) is one of the navel-gazing-esque spreadsheets put together on long weekends to examine a data point that might be interesting both to me and readers. The goal was to simply look at Q4 ’17 and 2018 SP … Continued
Once a year, looking at the top market cap weights in the SP 500 can provide some insight into the equity market’s key benchmark. The last time this was written about was here, in August ’16, or about 16 … Continued
Here was the latest “cash repatriation” math for large-cap Tech in the event of major tax reform passing, and with the Senate passing a bill late Friday night, the probability of real reform becoming law is greatly improved. Capital gains … Continued
Great article by Josh Brown this Sunday, November 25, 2017. This blog post of last weekend hinted at this, but Josh more thoroughly flushes it out. Market breadth is extremely important – ignore it at your own risk. This morning’s … Continued
Reading a good blog this Monday night, it was somewhat surprising to read that this blog author was worried about the flattening yield curve and was avoiding the Financial sector. His reasons were solid, but I think that easier regulation … Continued
While Energy is still lapping the very easy compares from 2016, the Financial sector is a big drag on Q3 ’17 earnings, with the key group showing earnings declines of -7.3% for Q3 ’17. Ex-Energy and Ex-Financials, the SP 500 … Continued
Here is the blog post from October 8. 2017, where Q4 ’17 was looked at initially, relative to July 1 expectations. Remember, it isn’t just the rate of change for forward estimates, but the direction, whether the revisions are upward … Continued