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Category: jobless claims

Jobless Claims and Credit Spreads – An Update

August 7, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While I thought last week’s jobless claims number of +255,000 was the highest print in the last year (and was…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Credit markets, jobless claims

How Much Time Might Be Left in This Secular Bull Market ?

November 26, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

For this post-Thanksgiving week, the important economic release is the October PCE and PCE Core data coming out Thursday morning,…

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Posted in: jobless claims, PCE / PCE Core

SP 500 Earnings: The New “Forward Estimate” after July 1 is Currently $241.70

June 25, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The 60/40 benchmark portfolio was down -14.64% YTD as of Friday, June 24th, 2022, with the SPY being down -17.26%…

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Posted in: Commodities, jobless claims, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: The Growing Conclusion There’s More Risk to “E” than “P”

June 10, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Rick Rieder of Blackrock did his monthly bond call on Thursday morning, June 9th, 2022, and if readers aren’t listening…

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Posted in: BlackRock, Ed Yardeni, Jim Cramer and TheStreet, jobless claims, JPM, PE expansion / contraction

Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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