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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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August CPI, High-Yield Credit, and Back to the Yen Carry Trade

September 8, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s the coming week’s detail on US economic releases, per Briefing.com calendar: The August CPI report is due Wednesday, September…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, Credit markets, Ed Yardeni, Yen

SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Have Increased Sequentially 4 Weeks in a Row

September 7, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

First, a couple of good charts from Morningstar the last few days on market attribution, as well as a style-box…

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Posted in: mu, ORCL, Style analysis, Weekly Earnings Update

Stay with International Investing (Although It’s Been a Tough Long)

September 4, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It’s a crude summary using an Excel spreadsheet, but this blog has been tracking the annual returns of the international…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, EMXC, International (Non-US), VWO)

Updating Walmart, Merck and Nike Post-Earnings

September 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Walmart (WMT) is a position that is gradually creeping up the “Top 10 Client Position” rankings, mostly from the increase…

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Posted in: Amazon, MRK, WMT

Top 10 Holdings and How the SP 500 Sectors Performed During the 2019 Rate Cuts

September 1, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Clients top 12 Holdings (listed 1 -12), spread across separate accounts, custodied at Schwab, as of 8.31.24 (YTD returns as…

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Posted in: 2019 Sector performance, Oakmark International, Top 10 Client Holdings

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Fundamentalis

  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

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