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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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More Jobs Data This Coming Week: Nothing to Suggest a Change in Trend is Afoot

January 4, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Since the forecasts were so inaccurate in 2022, through 2023, you rarely hear any kind of recession talk these days,…

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Posted in: Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings Update: Q3 ’24 Earnings Were Solid; Q4 ’24 Looks Even Stronger

January 3, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Just a quick comment on Friday, January 3rd, ’25’s market action: semi’s actually saw some good volume, with Nvidia (NVDA)…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

Semiconductors Looking Wobbly: Micron Estimate Revisions Sharply Negative Post Earnings

January 1, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bespoke put out a note on New Years Eve talking about the lousy action in semiconductors and the SMH (semiconductor…

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Posted in: MSFT, mu, SMH (semiconductor ETF)

Grim Decade for Bonds, but High-Yield Credit Wins in 2024

December 29, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s a decade-to-date total return chart for both the AGG ETF, and the Barclay’s US benchmark index courtesy of YCharts.…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, BASIX (Blackrock Income Fund), Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, High-Yield Credit, HYG, JMSIX (JPMorgan Income Fund), Treasuries

PE Contraction in ’25 Might Matter More, Ed Yardeni, Worry When the 10-year Treasury Yield hits 5%, Expect a Bumpier ’25

December 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Ed Yardeni was featured on CNBC’s Morning “Squawk Box” with Brian Sullivan and Sara Eisen on Friday, December 27th, 2024,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 expected stock and bond market returns, PE expansion / contraction, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • International Investing: International Outperformance vs SP 500 is Healthy, and it’s Still Early
  • Walmart Earnings Summary: Staying the Course, Looking to Add to the Stock
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield Chart and What 2027 Energy Sector Estimates are Saying
  • Walmart Earnings Preview: The Flywheel is Still Flywheelin’ but Ultimately, Operating Margin Needs to Improve
  • SP 500 EPS / Revenue Growth, and Amazon Earnings

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