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Month: April 2018

SP 500 Earnings Yield Remains Elevated – A Good Thing

April 7, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here is the chronology of the SP 500 “Earnings Yield” since the week of February 9th, 2018, when the stock…

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Posted in: SP 500 Earnings Yield

Will Q1 ’18 Earnings Put a Floor Under Stocks ?

April 6, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Normally the weekly earnings missive doesn’t start with a chart, but with the SP 500 sitting on its 200-day…

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Posted in: SP 500 200-day moving average, Weekly Earnings Update

“Style Box” Update – Is Growth / Momentum Investing Moving Out of Favor ?

April 2, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  The President didn’t help the Growth/FAANG/Momentum crowd this morning with his tweets targeted at Amazon. Looking at the above…

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Posted in: Growth v Value, Style analysis, Technical Analysis

The 10-Year Treasury Yield and a Year of P.E Compression ?

April 1, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Always grateful when the thoughtful and measured Jeff Miller, the author of one of Seeking Alpha’s more popular weekly columns,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, Bond Market(s), S&P 500, SP 500 forecast(s), TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT

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Fundamentalis

  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026

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