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Author: Brian Gilmartin

SP 500 Earnings: Estimates Slip in 2023 / Recession Worries Start to Multiply

May 27, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Looking at the capital markets action this week, credit spreads improved, the US dollar fell (as measured by the UUP),…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, US Dollar, US jobs growth

What’s the True Inflation Rate ?

May 23, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bespoke put up a couple of good charts today showing TIPS breakevens beginning to fall and the 5-year breakeven with…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, inflation

SP 500 Earnings Update: Earnings Yield Above 6% for First Time since March, 2020

May 20, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This graph gets tossed out to readers occasionally just to show the crowd the “net income” gains as recorded by…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Industrial sector, Industrials, Weekly Earnings Update

Style-Box Analysis Update: No Surprise, Value Continues to Outperform

May 15, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In what is a highly unusual start to 2022, every single bond and stock asset class has negative returns for…

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Posted in: Growth v Value, QQQ, Style analysis

SP 500 Earnings Update: SP 500 PE now 17x, Earnings Yield at 5.85% and Forward Estimates Rise Again

May 14, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The true dichotomy in 2022’s stock market is that SP 500 forward estimates continue to be revised higher, while the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, SP 500 Earnings Yield, US Dollar, UUP, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Technology Sector: Looking at the Last 5 Quarters “Upside Surprise” Factor
  • SP 500 Earnings: Nothing Much This Week, but Don’t Ignore Non-Correlated
  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

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