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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Nike Earnings Summary: Undervalued by 25% – 30%, But Wow has the Brand Dug Itself a Huge Hole

December 23, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Nike reported their fiscal Q2 ’25 financial results last Thursday night, December 19th, ’24, and despite the tough guidance for…

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Posted in: NKE

SP 500 Earnings: The Incredibly-Strong US Dollar Needs to Gradually Weaken

December 22, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Usually this blog sees more frequent posts and updates on a whole spate of investment areas and topics, but an…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, DXY, UUP Filed under: DXY

FOMC Release & Micron Earnings Preview: Macro and Micro

December 18, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The last FOMC announcement of 2024 is coming in a few hours. Here’s what the current fed funds futures market…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CME fed funds futures, FOMC meeting, Monetary policy, mu

SP 500 Earnings: The Fallacy of Valuation and Non-US Investments

December 9, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Credit spreads – quite remarkably – continue to tighten, as high-yield credit spreads, which peaked in mid-September ’24 (per the…

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Posted in: International (Non-US), US Dollar, US vs Non US markets, Weekly Earnings Update

Bond and International Returns YTD Still Not Much to Crow About

December 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1-year annual returns for a number of the bond market asset classes slid lower in November ’24, thanks primarily to…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, AGG, International (Non-US)

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Fundamentalis

  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week
  • International Equity Annual Returns: Non-Correlated to the US Returns and Don’t Forget Japan
  • Annual Fixed Income Returns: Emerging Markets Lead, Muni’s Lag

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