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Author: Brian Gilmartin

PE Contraction in ’25 Might Matter More, Ed Yardeni, Worry When the 10-year Treasury Yield hits 5%, Expect a Bumpier ’25

December 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

Ed Yardeni was featured on CNBC’s Morning “Squawk Box” with Brian Sullivan and Sara Eisen on Friday, December 27th, 2024,…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 expected stock and bond market returns, PE expansion / contraction, Weekly Earnings Update

Sold FedEx: Owned the Brand for Years; Defense and Some Old Tech Names Offer Better Opportunity

December 25, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Last Friday morning, December 20, 2024, FedEx (FDX) was trading up $22 near $299 per share, after reporting their fiscal…

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Posted in: FDX

Nike Earnings Summary: Undervalued by 25% – 30%, But Wow has the Brand Dug Itself a Huge Hole

December 23, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Nike reported their fiscal Q2 ’25 financial results last Thursday night, December 19th, ’24, and despite the tough guidance for…

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Posted in: NKE

SP 500 Earnings: The Incredibly-Strong US Dollar Needs to Gradually Weaken

December 22, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Usually this blog sees more frequent posts and updates on a whole spate of investment areas and topics, but an…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, DXY, UUP Filed under: DXY

FOMC Release & Micron Earnings Preview: Macro and Micro

December 18, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The last FOMC announcement of 2024 is coming in a few hours. Here’s what the current fed funds futures market…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, CME fed funds futures, FOMC meeting, Monetary policy, mu

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Fundamentalis

  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week

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