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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Nvidia’s Tough Post-CES Trade: NVDA Forward EPS and Revenue Estimates

January 7, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Nvidia fell 6% on Tuesday, January 7th, 2025, after Jensen Huang’s seemingly optimistic CES speech, which seemed to focus on…

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Posted in: Nvidia (NVDA)

More Jobs Data This Coming Week: Nothing to Suggest a Change in Trend is Afoot

January 4, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Since the forecasts were so inaccurate in 2022, through 2023, you rarely hear any kind of recession talk these days,…

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Posted in: Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings Update: Q3 ’24 Earnings Were Solid; Q4 ’24 Looks Even Stronger

January 3, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Just a quick comment on Friday, January 3rd, ’25’s market action: semi’s actually saw some good volume, with Nvidia (NVDA)…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

Semiconductors Looking Wobbly: Micron Estimate Revisions Sharply Negative Post Earnings

January 1, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bespoke put out a note on New Years Eve talking about the lousy action in semiconductors and the SMH (semiconductor…

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Posted in: MSFT, mu, SMH (semiconductor ETF)

Grim Decade for Bonds, but High-Yield Credit Wins in 2024

December 29, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s a decade-to-date total return chart for both the AGG ETF, and the Barclay’s US benchmark index courtesy of YCharts.…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, AGG, BASIX (Blackrock Income Fund), Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, High-Yield Credit, HYG, JMSIX (JPMorgan Income Fund), Treasuries

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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