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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Cisco Earnings Preview: The Networking Giant has Averaged 3% Revenue Growth pear Year since 2010

May 13, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Cisco (CSCO) reports their fiscal Q3 ’25 after the closing bell on Wednesday, May 14th, 2025, with sell-side consensus expecting…

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Posted in: CSCO

Inflation Expectations vs. 10-year Treasury Yield – the (2nd) Great Conundrum

May 7, 2025 Brian Gilmartin 2 Comments

The first Great Conundrum was in the early 2000’s after the 2001 – 2002 50% bear market in the SP…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Great Rcecession (2008), inflation expectations

Fixed-Income Annual Returns and Falling Crude Oil Prices

May 5, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Crude oil was down 4% Sunday night, as OPEC once again announced a production increase of 411,000 bpd (barrels per…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, Credit markets

International Returns Starting to Shine, But Probably Not Like March, 2000 through 2007

May 4, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above asset-class return quilt was posted to X late last week by FinGenAI (@ackmeni), and is originally sourced from…

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Posted in: GLD, Gold, International (Non-US), International Equity (JFEAX)

Big Jump in Q1 ’25 SP 500 EPS: “Upside Surprise” for Q1 ’25 is +7%

May 2, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Source: LSEG Earnings Scorecard This table shows the sharp jump in just the last week in the Q1 ’25 SP…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week

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