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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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August ’22 Jobs Report Looms Large after Jackson Hole Speech

August 28, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The 60% /40% balanced portfolio (SP 500 / Batclays Aggregate) had returned -12.37% YTD as of Friday, August 26th’s close.…

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Posted in: Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings Update: Forward Estimates Continue to be Revised Lower

August 26, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Per the IBES data by Refinitiv, the forward estimates for the SP 500, continue to be revised lower, which is…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

The Usual SP 500 Earnings Update: SP 500 EPS Returning to Pre-Covid patterns

August 21, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The 60% / 40% balanced portfolio slid 105 basis points this week to a YTD return of -10.10%, improved from…

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Posted in: High-Yield Credit, HYG, Weekly Earnings Update

Another Perspective on SP 500 Earnings

August 19, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The regular update will be out this weekend, but I wanted to show readers some of FundStrat’s earnings work as…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

StyleBox Update: It Could be Reasonable to Expect Large-Cap Growth to Lag for a While Longer

August 16, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Click on the spreadsheet and you’ll find an updated “stylebox” analysis through 8/15/22. Because performance is downloaded monthly, it’s preferred…

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Posted in: annual return, Average Annual Return, Style analysis

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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