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SP 500 Earnings: You have to Respect the Bear Case

September 11, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

After last week, the 2022 YTD return on the 60% / 40% benchmark portfolio is -12.78%, improved from the previous…

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Posted in: HYG, Weekly Earnings Update

A Dollar Potentially Poised for Reversal After Maximum Pessimism for Europe

September 7, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The interesting thing about Tuesday’s, September 6th, ’22’s price action was that crude ended the day flat or just slightly…

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Posted in: Emerging Markets, EMXC, Oakmark International, US Dollar, UUP

On the Fed Being Behind the Curve (Again), Secular Bull Markets, and Annual Returns

September 5, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The thought looking at the softening economic data, is that the Fed and Jay Powell could be “behind the curve”…

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Posted in: annual return, Housing, Monetary policy, Monthly payroll report, SP 500 long-term returns Filed under: Monetary policy

SP 500 Earnings Update: Slight Improvement but Market Action Trumps All

September 2, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

There was a slight sequential improvement in the forward 4-quarter estimate (FFQE) this week, but the 2023 and 2024 calendar…

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Posted in: SP 500 estimate revision data, Weekly Earnings Update

August ’22 Returns; The Dollar and How We Used to Be Happy

August 31, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here is Bespoke’s Asset Class Performance Matrix posted after the close Wednesday, August 31, ’22. (Click on the image to…

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Posted in: Bespoke, CNBC, Housing, US Dollar

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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