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The Dollar / International and Non-US Investing / Top 10 Holdings

June 8, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This daily chart of the UUP was sent to me about a month ago by a technician, Gary Morrow, (@garysmorrow)…

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Posted in: Currency, Emerging Market ETF's (EEM, Emerging Markets, EMXC, Oakmark International, US Dollar

SP 500 Earnings: Corporate Credit Has Held up Very Well

June 4, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It makes you wonder how much homework sell-side analysts do, when Nvidia (NVDA) markedly increases their revenue guidance for the…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Weekly Earnings Update

The Treasury Yield Curve Has to Normalize – Eventually

June 1, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thinking about the Treasury yield curve the night before the May ’23 nonfarm payroll report, eventually the Treasury yield curve…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Municipal Bond market, Treasuries, Treasury Yield Curve

Tech Overheating and a Tough May ’23 for Treasuries

May 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

May ’23 still has 2 days remaining but here’s the basis point change in Treasuries (as of Friday, May 26)…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Technology, Treasuries

SP 500 Earnings: Fed Funds Rate Hike Probability for June, Jumps Sharply

May 26, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It will be interesting to see how much of the recent move in Treasury yields is a default premium being…

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Posted in: CME fed funds futures, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

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  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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