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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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The Coming Week: FOMC Statement, Lots of Labor Market Data, and More SP 500 Earnings Data

July 28, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It’s a busy week for economic data, both monthly and quarterly, as well as the all-important FOMC statement on monetary…

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Posted in: CME fed funds futures, Federal Reserve, Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings: Capex is not Earnings / Tech Revisions Still Positive

July 26, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Occasionally this blog posts this – what is essentially a net income chart from LSEG I/B/E/S – for the SP…

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Posted in: Capex, GOOG, GOOGL, MSFT, Technology

Tech Sector’s Historical EPS and Revenue Growth Heading into Q2 ’24 Earnings

July 22, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Looking at the above table, the tech sector is expected – as of last Friday, July 19 ’24 – to…

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Posted in: GOOGL, Technology

Netflix Earnings Summary: Will Netflix Ever Lose the Narrow / No Moat Status ?

July 21, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Netflix reported a revenue, operating income and EPS beat last Thursday night, July 18th ’24, while guidance looked to be…

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Posted in: Netflix

SP 500 Earnings: Large-Cap Growth Corrects as High Yield Credit Spreads Tighten

July 20, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

As of Thursday night, July 18, 2024, only 70 companies had reported Q2 ’24 earnings results, so the sample size…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Credit markets, High-Yield Credit

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Fundamentalis

  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

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