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SP 500 Earnings: Some Doubt Entering Q4 ’20 Estimates

August 21, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Here is the latest y/y growth estimates – by sector – for the SP 500 as published by IBES…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

On Emerging Markets, The Dollar and Oakmark Int’l

August 20, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

First the weekly chart of the UUP:    Curious as to how the UUP acted in 2016 and then before…

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Posted in: Emerging Market ETF's (EEM, Emerging Markets

SP 500 Earnings, Style Box Update, and the Russell 2000

August 16, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The 2’s – 10’s Treasury note spread widened out to 57 basis points this week, the widest spread since (wait…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Russell 2000, Style analysis, Weekly Earnings Update

Rotation Prospects, Corporate Credit Spreads and This and That…

August 9, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

First, a quick note of thanks to Jeff Miller, on his two articles on caution warranted on interpreting the nonfarm…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, High-Yield Credit, Nasdaq 100

SP 500 Weekly Earnings: Big Improvement in Several Sectors

August 7, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  This is a graph found on the first page of “This Week in Earnings” from Refinitiv, and it shows…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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