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SP 500 Earnings Update, and a Gold (GLD) Comment

July 31, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

What looks like a long-term breakout on the chart is not. The all-time-high on September 26th, 2011, was $185.85 for…

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Posted in: GLD, SP 500 Earnings Yield

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Song Remains the Same – Steady Improvement in Forward Quarters

July 24, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Led Zeppelin’s great tune notwithstanding, the SP 500 earnings patterns for Q3, Q4 ’20 and into early 2021 remain positive.…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

Corporate Credit Markets Remain in Good Shape

July 19, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The name of the bond market game since Covid-19 hit, if it can be summarized in one sentence, is that…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, Vanguard Investment Grade ETF (BIV)

The Warning Sign From the Nasdaq-100 and Rebalancing Every June

July 18, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The “outside reversal day” on Monday, July 13th, 2020 for the Nasdaq 100 still looms large as we approach Q2…

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Posted in: Nasdaq 100, QQQ

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Forward Earnings Curve Moving the Right Way (Still)

July 17, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The “forward 4-qtr” estimate actually moved higher this week versus last week, coming in at $143.25 versus $142.98 from last…

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Posted in: Forward SP 500 earnings curve, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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