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Category: TBF – inverse Treasury

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: One Guy, and the Tech Sector

September 17, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“One Guy” – listening to the Delivering Alpha conference this week with one ear, doing some spreadsheet work, I was…

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Posted in: Apple (AAPL), Asset allocation, TBF - inverse Treasury, Technology, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Did the Re-Naming of Chicago’s Sox Park Call a Top in the Bond Market ?

August 27, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Doug Kass, the famed author of “The Edge” column at Jim Cramer’s Street.com, and a noted bear who gave the…

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Posted in: Municipal High Yield, stock market sentiment, Taxable High Yield, TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT, TNX

The Unrelenting, Unforgiving, Treasury Trade

July 3, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Sometimes it is good to have reminders of the mistakes you’ve made.” Brian Bosworth, “The Boz”, ESPN’s 30-for-30 —————————————————————————————— If…

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Posted in: AGG, Asset allocation, CNBC, Taxable High Yield, TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT, TNX, Treasuries

2-Year Treasury Yield Back to Mid-September ’15 Highs

November 5, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Friday morning, November 6th, Wall Street gets the monthly update on the job market as the October ’15 nonfarm payroll…

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Posted in: Liquidity Trap, TBF - inverse Treasury, Treasuries

Breakout or Breakdown: Stocks vs. Treasuries – Opinions Make Markets

May 11, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Long being fans of Bernie Schaeffer’s technical research and the work produced by Schaeffer’s Investment Research, we noted this chart…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), CME, SCHW, TBF - inverse Treasury, TNX

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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