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Category: FOMC meeting

The 10-year Treasury Yield Break Above 4.35% is Worrisome

September 23, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Despite the commentary around Jay Powell’s “hawkish commentary” at the Wednesday, September 20th, ’23 FOMC presser, the odds that the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, FOMC meeting, Weekly Earnings Update

So Many Market Narratives, Don’t Forget Price

April 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Promised readers in this weekend’s SP 500 earnings comments that a quick history of the “upside surprise” for SP 500…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, FOMC meeting, High-Yield Credit, HYG, Market breadth

SP 500 Earnings Update / 10-Year Treasury Yield Testing May ’22, October ’18 High Yields

June 12, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

As of Friday, June 10th, 2022, the 60/40% balanced portfolio has returned -14.82% YTD, with the SPY declining -17.68%, and…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Energy ETF's (XLE, Energy sector, FOMC meeting, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: Q1 ’22 Earnings are Fine; All About the Fed Meeting This Week

May 1, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

SP 500 YTD decline: -12.99% Barclay’s Agg YTD decline: -9.43% 60/40 portfolio YTD decline: -11.57% At the FOMC meeting this…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, Energy ETF's (XLE, Energy sector, FOMC meeting

This and That: The Dollar, the FOMC Meeting Next Week, Mega-Cap Earnings

April 28, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions out of Cincinnati – a very good technician – talking about the US dollar…

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Posted in: Financial sector, Financials, FOMC meeting, US Dollar

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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