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Author: Brian Gilmartin

SP 500 Earnings: The Fallacy of Valuation and Non-US Investments

December 9, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Credit spreads – quite remarkably – continue to tighten, as high-yield credit spreads, which peaked in mid-September ’24 (per the…

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Posted in: International (Non-US), US Dollar, US vs Non US markets, Weekly Earnings Update

Bond and International Returns YTD Still Not Much to Crow About

December 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1-year annual returns for a number of the bond market asset classes slid lower in November ’24, thanks primarily to…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, AGG, International (Non-US)

Intel Rehashed: What Went Wrong ? Maybe the Better Question is, “What Didn’t ?

December 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The announcement that Pat Gelsinger “retired” on December 1st, 2024 came as a surprise this morning, and at first the…

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Posted in: INTC

Trump ’16-’17 vs. Trump’24 -’25: The Stock Market “Math” Still Looks Tough

December 1, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Barrons (www.barrons.com) had a good article (subscription may be required) on the prospects for 2025 stock market returns this weekend,…

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Posted in: 2025 expected stock and bond market returns

SP 500 Earnings Update: Big Week for Labor Market Data / Treasuries Rallied Sharply Last week

November 30, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The following table from Briefing.com lists the scheduled economic data releases for December 2nd through December 6th, and like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Labor Market Data, Monthly payroll report

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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