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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Thinking About Treasuries and Interest Rates – Another Head Fake ?

May 6, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

We had another ugly day in Treasuries today, Wednesday, May 6th, 2015. Here are the recent returns for the IEF…

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Posted in: AGG, IEF, TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT

The SP 500 Forward Growth Rate and the Energy Metric I am Watching

May 2, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

U. Karlewitz, a blogger who does some great chart work and analysis, posted on SP 500 earnings last night, noting…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500)

Weekly Earnings Update: Forward 4-Quarter Estimate Struggles to Stay Positive

May 1, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The forward 4-quarter estimate as of Friday, May 1, 2015, is $122.23 down from last week’s $122.56 The p.e ratio…

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Posted in: Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500), Weekly Earnings Update

Q1 ’15 Revenue Growth Not As Good As Earnings

April 30, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Running through the Thomson Reuters Earnings Scorecard, Q1 ’15 SP 500 earnings are coming in with a 69% beat rate.…

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Posted in: SP 500 Revenue Growth

Some SP 500 Earnings Errata And Ammendations

April 27, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here is a table I build occasionally using Bespoke, Schwab, and Thomson Reuters data. BespokeSP500 sector data It would have been more…

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Posted in: Earnings, Factset, Factset earnings data, Financial sector, Financials, GE, Industrials, Uncategorized

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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